The majority of researchers believe that the main
cause of the rapidly changing climate, especially during the last 35 years, is our
fossil fuel-burning activities, which
increase the amount of carbon dioxide and other “greenhouse gases” in the
atmosphere – these act like a giant blanket causing global warming.
Although burning of coal, oil and gas is the
main contributor, other causes of greenhouse gas emissions include:
deforestation, decaying material in landfill sites, cement and pesticide
manufacture, growth in farm animals, rice production. The rapidly increasing
world population adds to the scale of all these things.
Since pre-industrial times, we have added
around one-third more carbon dioxide to the atmosphere and doubled the
methane, plus nitrous oxide and a range of industrial gases. Around half of
these emissions are believed to have occurred since 1950; they are nowadays
accurately measured and are rapidly increasing.
The warming is believed to put more energy
into the climate systems
and to result in an increase in the severity and frequency of extreme weather events: floods, droughts, storms, wildfires and
extreme temperatures; giving rise to growing hunger, homelessness,
disease, injury, loss of life and livelihood.
Although there is no hard proof that our
emissions are the major cause of climate change, the exceptionally high
temperatures in Europe in 2003 and the regular severe flooding now
experienced in the UK are likely to be part of the trend.
It is possible that, to date, climate change
has done more good than harm in the UK and similar "northern" climes (e.g.
less hypothermia in milder winters), but a great deal of extra suffering is likely to have already been caused in poorer countries.
The risk is that, as global warming increases (irreversibly), the point will
be reached where we in the UK experience overall negative effects and, at worst, the
world climate could de-stabilise, causing a rapid uncontrollable acceleration - "runaway warming" with catastrophic spiralling
effects.
For those interested in the background science, an excellent
and objective analysis, produced by a British independent amateur scientist, can be viewed at:
http://www.brighton73.freeserve.co.uk/gw/globalwarmingfaq.htm